Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 18.997939 21.950872 25.143665 28.843913 33.005387 37.531967 42.819071
2025-09-21 13.728922 17.744636 22.505571 28.524958 35.887197 44.550764 55.464785
2025-09-28 10.428899 14.762459 20.292728 27.775853 37.532026 49.704764 65.908669
2025-10-05 9.167829 13.956731 20.434203 29.672601 42.317194 58.800124 81.651502
2025-10-12 8.125822 13.196282 20.414457 31.188890 46.559779 67.348354 97.158867
2025-10-19 7.003685 12.097798 19.708870 31.562347 49.129566 73.697481 110.014388
2025-10-26 6.061243 11.099828 18.977228 31.737144 51.318487 79.545264 122.422874
2025-11-02 5.169859 10.028871 17.969686 31.329289 52.523897 83.962580 132.952740
2025-11-09 4.394178 9.021479 16.917584 30.696199 53.259189 87.643539 142.519018
2025-11-16 3.729580 8.098853 15.877297 29.939567 53.677190 90.791490 151.373075
2025-11-23 3.115402 7.164805 14.690111 28.785819 53.307446 92.626614 158.233703
2025-11-30 2.871461 6.916509 14.696202 29.682896 56.377260 100.027944 174.110426
2025-12-07 2.587442 6.570621 14.535050 30.368016 59.319976 107.698716 191.351426
2025-12-14 2.202920 5.946160 13.771174 29.890568 60.246125 112.206063 203.921226
2025-12-21 1.847366 5.312368 12.894110 29.086612 60.494028 115.558874 214.755940
2025-12-28 1.779614 5.348890 13.409471 31.055763 65.976599 128.199344 241.833986
2026-01-04 1.683178 5.295024 13.719724 32.631934 70.822260 139.982184 268.020186
2026-01-11 1.510208 5.007288 13.471373 33.020125 73.403651 147.872003 287.845647
2026-01-18 1.345251 4.705217 13.145909 33.201848 75.576355 155.121215 306.874843
2026-01-25 1.166626 4.322902 12.574003 32.777767 76.486267 160.076218 322.027409
2026-02-01 1.000529 3.936505 11.932395 32.119437 76.846743 163.995838 335.462563
2026-02-08 0.851926 3.565436 11.270352 31.332546 76.857615 167.221435 347.741437
2026-02-15 0.708180 3.168928 10.475392 30.132451 75.871245 168.433021 356.290199